Sunday, July 23, 2017

+100kg Analysis

Full Analysis

+100kg Men: Riner (FRA)
+78kg Women: Asahina (JPN)
-100kg Men: Haga (JPN)
-78kg Women: Tcheumeo (FRA)
-90kg Men: Toth (HUN)
-70kg Women: Arai (JPN)
-81kg Men: Khalmurzaev (RUS)
-63kg Women: Trstenjak (SLO)
-73kg Men: Soichi Hashimoto (JPN)
-57kg Women: Tsukasa Yoshida (JPN)
-66kg Men: Hifumi Abe (JPN)
-52kg Women: Majlinda Kelmendi (KOS)
-60kg Men: Naohisa Takato (JPN)
-48kg Women: Urantsetseg Munkhbat (MGL)

Teddy Riner hasn't competed once since the Rio 2016 but he's been attending training camps and is still the top favorite for Budapest.
On paper, this is an easy one: Teddy Riner of France who has been unbeaten since 2011. Although capable of big throws, he is always prepared to play a strategic game when confronted with tough opponents in the final of an important competition like the World Championships or the Olympics. And with his excellent gripping he always comes up tops. He hasn't competed once since the 2016 Rio Olympics though. So we don't know what kind of shape he's in. But he has been going to international training camps so he's probably in fighting form.

The Japanese are sending two players for this category. Hisayoshi Harasawa fought Riner in the final of the Rio Olympics and although he was as bit tentative at the start, towards the end of the match, he was going after Riner fearlessly. If they meet again, he might not be as tentative. So, he is a real threat. Still, Riner is a master tactician. As for Takeshi Ojitani, he has never fought Riner, which would probably work towards his disadvantage as he would probably succumb to Riner's grips.

We are used to seeing big, fat players in the heavyweight division but none of these big, fat players have been able to dislodge Riner. Perhaps a more athletically-built heavyweight would be able to do so.

Israel's Or Sasson fought well against Riner in Rio but it doesn't look like he will be competing in Budapest. But there are two other athletic heavyweights to look out for. Guram Tushishvili of Georgia is the European Champion and he has excellent drop techniques. Lukas Krpalek has also done well adjusting to his new weight class and he is good at newaza. But both these men have never fought Riner, which again works to their disadvantage as they have never weathered his killer grips before. It's hard to imagine them being able to overcome that on their first try. 

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